Table 5
Sensitivity of Lakes Geneva and Superior general additive models to decisions made on the handling of explanatory variable data. Variables that were included in the top-performing model (bold text) and alternatives explored have an associated approximate P-value whereas dashes indicate the variable was not included. Potential explanatory variables for explaining larval densities included bathymetric depths (Depth in m), Julian Day, edible zooplankton density (EZ, ind.L−1), and wind vectors (u = east-west, v = north-south). Wind speed (km/hr) was only used as an explanatory variable in one model (with wind vectors dropped). An NA is present when an explanatory variable was not used in the analysis, a hyphen is used when the explanatory variable was included in the analyses but was not selected in the top model.
Lake | Model alternative | Depth | Julian day | EZ | u | v | Wind speed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geneva | Top-performing model described in Materials and methods | <0.001 | 0.09 | – | – | <0.01 | NA |
Wind vectors based on 1.33 days prior to sampling | <0.001 | 0.05 | – | – | <0.001 | NA | |
Average wind speeds (including zeroes) | <0.001 | – | – | NA | NA | <0.01 | |
Available zooplankton based on 200-μm mesh which necessitated dropping 1st event | <0.001 | – | – | <0.001 | – | NA | |
Averaged across depth categories (shallow, middle, deep) | <0.001 | – | – | – | 0.04 | NA | |
Superior | Top-performing model described in Materials and methods | <0.001 | – | – | 0.01 | – | NA |
No borrowing of missing explanatory data | 0.02 | – | – | 0.05 | – | NA | |
Wind vectors based on 1.33 days prior to sampling | <0.001 | – | – | 0.01 | – | NA | |
Wind vectors based on 0.33 days prior to sampling | <0.001 | – | – | 0.02 | – | NA | |
Available zooplankton based on 200-μm mesh | <0.001 | – | – | 0.01 | – | NA | |
Averaged across depth categories (shallow, middle, deep) | 0.04 | – | – | – | - | NA |
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