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Forecasting population dynamics of the black Amur bream (Megalobrama terminalis) in a large subtropical river using a univariate approach

Fangmin Shuai, Sovan Lek, Xinhui Li, Qianfu Liu, Yuefei Li and Jie Li

ARIMA model and RDA were proposed to predict M. terminalis larval abundance and its influence. CCF model further identified that discharge acted as a trigger for population growth. We conclude ARIMA model approach is an especially promising tool for predicting the trend of population effectively.

Ann. Limnol. - Int. J. Lim., 53 (2017) 35-45
Published online: 10 January 2017
DOI: 10.1051/limn/2016034

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